Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005437 0.005742 0.006058 0.006410 0.006792 0.007195 0.007653
2026-01-25 0.004883 0.005322 0.005798 0.006354 0.006991 0.007700 0.008557
2026-02-01 0.004644 0.005173 0.005765 0.006482 0.007335 0.008327 0.009580
2026-02-08 0.004382 0.004962 0.005627 0.006455 0.007469 0.008688 0.010290
2026-02-15 0.004182 0.004802 0.005527 0.006450 0.007611 0.009050 0.011009
2026-02-22 0.003970 0.004609 0.005370 0.006358 0.007629 0.009244 0.011511
2026-03-01 0.003790 0.004443 0.005233 0.006276 0.007646 0.009427 0.011999
2026-03-08 0.003665 0.004338 0.005163 0.006271 0.007755 0.009732 0.012669
2026-03-15 0.003470 0.004136 0.004960 0.006079 0.007602 0.009665 0.012798
2026-03-22 0.003384 0.004066 0.004921 0.006101 0.007734 0.009995 0.013526
2026-03-29 0.003325 0.004029 0.004922 0.006172 0.007935 0.010432 0.014444
2026-04-05 0.003222 0.003928 0.004834 0.006117 0.007953 0.010600 0.014955
2026-04-12 0.003139 0.003853 0.004777 0.006104 0.008031 0.010864 0.015647
2026-04-19 0.003046 0.003761 0.004696 0.006051 0.008048 0.011037 0.016202
2026-04-26 0.003022 0.003759 0.004735 0.006171 0.008325 0.011625 0.017514
2026-05-03 0.002949 0.003689 0.004676 0.006145 0.008379 0.011863 0.018233
2026-05-10 0.002887 0.003632 0.004634 0.006140 0.008464 0.012153 0.019072
2026-05-17 0.002803 0.003540 0.004540 0.006055 0.008417 0.012220 0.019500
2026-05-24 0.002726 0.003457 0.004454 0.005978 0.008380 0.012300 0.019956
2026-05-31 0.002675 0.003409 0.004418 0.005973 0.008456 0.012577 0.020823
2026-06-07 0.002574 0.003287 0.004271 0.005795 0.008242 0.012336 0.020625
2026-06-14 0.002537 0.003255 0.004254 0.005815 0.008354 0.012675 0.021649
2026-06-21 0.002515 0.003245 0.004266 0.005881 0.008545 0.013167 0.023051